Update: A Very Severe Cyclonic storm - Pakistan , India

This is a dangerous system. Damaging winds, heavy rainfall, storm surge, rough seas, mudslides, and flash flooding are all possible risks.

Biparjoy is located 374 km south of Karachi, Pakistan, and has moved northeastward at 6 km/h (3 knots) over the past 6 hours.

Biparjoy continues to battle its environment as it rides the western edge of the subtropical ridge to the east. It appears Biparjoy made a turn northeastward as the system rounds the subtropical ridge axis.

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) “BIPARJOY” over northeast Arabian Sea moved further now lies near Latitude 21.9°N & Longitude 66.3°E with N/NE direction and is at a distance of about 340km south- southwest of Karachi, 355km south- southwest Thatta and 270km south- southwest of Keti Bandar. Maximum sustained surface winds are 150-160 Km/hour gusts 180 Km/hour around the system center and sea conditions being phenomenal around the system center with maximum wave height 30 feet.

The cyclone conditions (sea surface temperature of 29-30°C, low vertical wind shear & upper-level divergence) are in support to sustain its strength through the forecast period. Under the existing upper-level steering winds, the VSCS “BIPARJOY” is now likely to recurve North- northeastward and cross between Keti Bandar (Southeast Sindh) and Indian Gujarat coast on 15 June afternoon/evening as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) with packing winds of 100-120 Km/hour gusting 140 km/hour. The areas likely to be affected include Thatta, Badin, Sajawal, Tharparkar, Karachi, Mirpurkhas, Umerkot, Hyderabad, Ormara, Tando Allah Yar Khan and Tando Mohammad Khan. These findings have been developed by NEOC Technical team using international and national models (PMD-NWPM, NASA, PDC & UKM, IMD, BOM-A, and ECMWF).